{"punk":7207,"name":"CryptoPunk #7207","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/7207","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/7207.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Chinstrap","Earring","Bandana"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-06","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-06 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-07T00:20:34.586Z","fingerprint_sha256":"76e58439a099cc8cd66c5865a3915bee905a819a57c55e8ad375b9f5abdc46a1"},"estimate":{"eth":34.0572,"usd":76144,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":31.3172,"high_eth":37.037,"low_usd":70018,"high_usd":82806},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.7976,"high_eth":40.2775,"low_usd":64385,"high_usd":90051},"sigma_log":0.0839,"multiple_of_floor":1.1207,"n1_eth":32.3833,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-07T06:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":34.0572,"usd":76144,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":31.3172,"high_eth":37.037,"low_usd":70018,"high_usd":82806},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.7976,"high_eth":40.2775,"low_usd":64385,"high_usd":90051},"sigma_log":0.0839,"multiple_of_floor":1.1207,"n1_eth":32.3833,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"76e58439a099cc8cd66c5865a3915bee905a819a57c55e8ad375b9f5abdc46a1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-07T06:04:35.000Z","block":26361068,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":10,"stale":false,"label":"as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2235.7745744284666,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-07","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-07T06:04:35.000Z","block":26361068,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":10,"stale":false,"label":"as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-07","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.5,"beta":0.044,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.7,"beta":0.1192,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":66},{"pct":-5.2,"beta":-0.0538,"term":"attr:Chinstrap","label":"Chinstrap","sales_12m":42,"weighted_sales":19.1},{"pct":-2.3,"beta":-0.0231,"term":"attr:Earring","label":"Earring","sales_12m":303,"weighted_sales":71},{"pct":-3.5,"beta":-0.0359,"term":"attr:Bandana","label":"Bandana","sales_12m":63,"weighted_sales":13.9}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":22.5,"date":"2021-04-27","block":12321987,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":322,"adjusted_eth":31.109},{"eth":18,"date":"2021-06-11","block":12613355,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":310,"adjusted_eth":36.468},{"eth":54.99,"date":"2023-05-04","block":17189768,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":169,"adjusted_eth":30.3845},{"eth":61,"date":"2023-11-23","block":18637383,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":107,"adjusted_eth":33.1093},{"eth":0,"date":"2024-03-25","block":19514690,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":266,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":50,"date":"2025-05-22","block":22538500,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":246,"adjusted_eth":32.4125}],"comparables":[{"eth":38,"date":"2026-08-23","punk":1717,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.1107,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":33,"date":"2026-10-14","punk":3378,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.0508,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.745,"date":"2026-09-21","punk":2505,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.1203,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.2,"date":"2026-09-05","punk":4023,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":28.5761,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":36.48,"date":"2026-08-20","punk":2547,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.2063,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.25,"date":"2026-08-20","punk":2505,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.24,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":37,"date":"2026-08-13","punk":6562,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.4486,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.19,"date":"2026-08-12","punk":6562,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.7984,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.0504,"type_multiple":{"sales":773,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0656,"median_multiple":1.0656},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 34.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.3 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-06).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 06:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-06.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (773 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Chinstrap -5%, Earring -2%, Bandana -4%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/7207","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}