{"punk":7361,"name":"CryptoPunk #7361","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/7361","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/7361.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":4,"attributes":["Mustache","Frumpy Hair","Pipe"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":37.626,"usd":91171,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.7186,"high_eth":41.9861,"low_usd":81703,"high_usd":101736},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.2171,"high_eth":46.8515,"low_usd":73219,"high_usd":113525},"sigma_log":0.1096,"multiple_of_floor":1.2381,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T10:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":37.626,"usd":91171,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.7186,"high_eth":41.9861,"low_usd":81703,"high_usd":101736},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.2171,"high_eth":46.8515,"low_usd":73219,"high_usd":113525},"sigma_log":0.1096,"multiple_of_floor":1.2381,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T10:04:35.000Z","block":26355095,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":39,"stale":false,"label":"as of 10:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T10:04:35.000Z","block":26355095,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":39,"stale":false,"label":"as of 10:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":745,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":19.8,"beta":0.1805,"term":"tone4","label":"Skin tone 4 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":25.7},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.076,"term":"attr:Frumpy Hair","label":"Frumpy Hair","sales_12m":59,"weighted_sales":19.8}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":73.61,"date":"2022-12-06","block":16127374,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":208,"adjusted_eth":34.9806},{"eth":73,"date":"2022-12-30","block":16298086,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":64,"adjusted_eth":33.9008},{"eth":75,"date":"2023-01-05","block":16341864,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":64,"adjusted_eth":34.383},{"eth":36.5,"date":"2025-02-18","block":21871249,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":784,"adjusted_eth":31.2637},{"eth":36.75,"date":"2025-02-26","block":21932208,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":23,"adjusted_eth":32.7613},{"eth":37.5,"date":"2026-07-12","block":25518393,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":118,"adjusted_eth":35.1302}],"comparables":[{"eth":48.0676,"date":"2025-10-09","punk":7771,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.1501,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":49.8227,"date":"2025-10-06","punk":7771,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.0906,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":51,"date":"2025-04-22","punk":3302,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.2488,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":44.84,"date":"2025-03-29","punk":3905,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.6978,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":46.69,"date":"2024-12-02","punk":3302,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.9358,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":5579,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":40.5285,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":45,"date":"2026-10-24","punk":8879,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":44.5456,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":145,"date":"2026-10-20","punk":7779,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":140.9194,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.15,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Mustache","sales_12m":51},{"attribute":"Pipe","sales_12m":32}],"summary":["Estimate 37.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 10:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 10:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Frumpy Hair -7%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/7361","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}