{"punk":7368,"name":"CryptoPunk #7368","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/7368","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/7368.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Frown","Front Beard Dark","Fedora","Nerd Glasses"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":34.5834,"usd":83798,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":31.4537,"high_eth":38.0245,"low_usd":76215,"high_usd":92136},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.6072,"high_eth":41.8081,"low_usd":69318,"high_usd":101304},"sigma_log":0.0949,"multiple_of_floor":1.138,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":34.5834,"usd":83798,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":31.4537,"high_eth":38.0245,"low_usd":76215,"high_usd":92136},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.6072,"high_eth":41.8081,"low_usd":69318,"high_usd":101304},"sigma_log":0.0949,"multiple_of_floor":1.138,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","block":26353897,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":34,"stale":false,"label":"as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","block":26353897,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":34,"stale":false,"label":"as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 4+","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":10.1,"beta":0.0958,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":88.6},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0756,"term":"attr:Front Beard Dark","label":"Front Beard Dark","sales_12m":35,"weighted_sales":13.3}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 4+","seen":{"n":276,"cover1":0.736,"cover2":0.931,"bias_pct":1,"within10":0.71,"within25":0.928,"MdALE_pct":5.6},"thin":false,"sigma":0.089,"selection":{"n":293,"cover1":0.683,"cover2":0.932,"bias_pct":1.1,"within10":0.662,"within25":0.949,"MdALE_pct":6.9}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.25,"date":"2017-08-25","block":4203779,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":13,"adjusted_eth":37.9875},{"eth":0.4,"date":"2019-01-24","block":7120540,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":11,"adjusted_eth":40.6555},{"eth":0.5,"date":"2020-03-13","block":9661764,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":107,"adjusted_eth":25.325},{"eth":87.45,"date":"2022-01-25","block":14075372,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":383,"adjusted_eth":34.0937},{"eth":88,"date":"2022-03-12","block":14373892,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":29,"adjusted_eth":37.9875},{"eth":39.9,"date":"2026-09-24","block":26043671,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":163,"adjusted_eth":35.9917}],"comparables":[{"eth":30.4,"date":"2026-10-15","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.8114,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.31,"date":"2026-10-08","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.0538,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.25,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.1584,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.42,"date":"2026-08-21","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3619,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.75,"date":"2026-05-20","punk":4371,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":31.0786,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":51,"date":"2026-04-04","punk":7516,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":55.373,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":27.2,"date":"2026-02-01","punk":2718,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.2787,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":49,"date":"2025-10-27","punk":7012,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":38.1823,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.0656,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Frown","sales_12m":40},{"attribute":"Fedora","sales_12m":18},{"attribute":"Nerd Glasses","sales_12m":64}],"summary":["Estimate 34.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.5 to 38.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 41.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 06:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Front Beard Dark -7%.","In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/7368","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}