{"punk":7435,"name":"CryptoPunk #7435","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/7435","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/7435.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Frown","Shadow Beard","Headband"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":37.2982,"usd":90377,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.5234,"high_eth":41.498,"low_usd":81230,"high_usd":100553},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.1307,"high_eth":46.1707,"low_usd":73009,"high_usd":111875},"sigma_log":0.1067,"multiple_of_floor":1.2273,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T03:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":37.2982,"usd":90377,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.5234,"high_eth":41.498,"low_usd":81230,"high_usd":100553},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.1307,"high_eth":46.1707,"low_usd":73009,"high_usd":111875},"sigma_log":0.1067,"multiple_of_floor":1.2273,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T03:04:35.000Z","block":26352999,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":49,"stale":false,"label":"as of 03:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T03:04:35.000Z","block":26352999,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":49,"stale":false,"label":"as of 03:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":{"ask_eth":99.95,"ask_usd":223466,"z":9.24,"z_text":"9.2σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2022-07-12T03:10:44.000Z","days_listed":1578},"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":10.1,"beta":0.0958,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":88.6}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.43,"date":"2019-05-06","block":7704720,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":105,"adjusted_eth":29.6993},{"eth":5.99,"date":"2020-09-30","block":10964028,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":205,"adjusted_eth":31.3855},{"eth":10,"date":"2021-02-17","block":11876687,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":22,"adjusted_eth":23.5947},{"eth":14.49,"date":"2021-02-20","block":11894901,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":93,"adjusted_eth":32.5222},{"eth":24.5,"date":"2021-05-03","block":12363345,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":296,"adjusted_eth":36.462},{"eth":16,"date":"2021-05-23","block":12491723,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":96,"adjusted_eth":32.6336},{"eth":15.98,"date":"2021-06-25","block":12704316,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":188,"adjusted_eth":33.0362},{"eth":19,"date":"2021-07-10","block":12800238,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":305,"adjusted_eth":30.5832},{"eth":19.95,"date":"2021-07-13","block":12816765,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":93,"adjusted_eth":31.9095},{"eth":50.05,"date":"2022-05-27","block":14857086,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":29,"adjusted_eth":32.7101}],"comparables":[{"eth":40.4,"date":"2026-11-01","punk":7440,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":40.3734,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34,"date":"2026-09-30","punk":2298,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.3157,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35,"date":"2026-05-25","punk":2648,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.0087,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":39.5,"date":"2026-05-12","punk":7440,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":40.5816,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34,"date":"2025-11-07","punk":7988,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9496,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":50,"date":"2025-09-16","punk":8781,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":31.0419,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":65,"date":"2025-08-25","punk":5273,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":40.9654,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":59,"date":"2025-08-06","punk":5273,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.2897,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.1412,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Frown","sales_12m":40},{"attribute":"Shadow Beard","sales_12m":55},{"attribute":"Headband","sales_12m":48}],"summary":["Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 03:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 03:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/7435","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}