{"punk":7526,"name":"CryptoPunk #7526","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/7526","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/7526.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Muttonchops","Purple Hair","Nerd Glasses"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":30.7487,"usd":69911,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.2697,"high_eth":33.445,"low_usd":64275,"high_usd":76041},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.9906,"high_eth":36.3779,"low_usd":59093,"high_usd":82710},"sigma_log":0.0841,"multiple_of_floor":1.0118,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":30.344,"usd":68991,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.8976,"high_eth":33.0048,"low_usd":63429,"high_usd":75041},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.6485,"high_eth":35.8991,"low_usd":58315,"high_usd":81621},"sigma_log":0.0841,"multiple_of_floor":1.0118,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":51,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":51,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-9.3,"beta":-0.0973,"term":"attr:Muttonchops","label":"Muttonchops","sales_12m":48,"weighted_sales":15.8}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.25,"date":"2019-09-02","block":8472885,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":124,"adjusted_eth":24.9917},{"eth":0.6,"date":"2020-01-04","block":9216216,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":99,"adjusted_eth":39.1174},{"eth":25.95,"date":"2021-05-03","block":12362677,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":248,"adjusted_eth":38.1117},{"eth":19.5,"date":"2021-05-15","block":12440703,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":188,"adjusted_eth":37.7294},{"eth":72,"date":"2022-01-22","block":14058390,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":15,"adjusted_eth":31.9893},{"eth":75.57,"date":"2022-03-17","block":14404429,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":3,"adjusted_eth":33.826},{"eth":65,"date":"2022-12-25","block":16263314,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":20,"adjusted_eth":30.4824},{"eth":68.5,"date":"2023-01-01","block":16313795,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":148,"adjusted_eth":31.378},{"eth":61.89,"date":"2023-05-02","block":17172292,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":286,"adjusted_eth":33.7469},{"eth":40,"date":"2025-01-28","block":21723757,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":113,"adjusted_eth":31.1584},{"eth":40.3949,"date":"2025-02-09","block":21809658,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":1042,"adjusted_eth":34.6226}],"comparables":[{"eth":50,"date":"2025-07-20","punk":1522,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.7354,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":147.25,"date":"2025-06-05","punk":4589,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":97.4841,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":43.6849,"date":"2025-03-24","punk":2672,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.3423,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":40,"date":"2025-03-23","punk":2672,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9975,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":47,"date":"2025-03-01","punk":4271,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":40.6322,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":37.5,"date":"2025-02-08","punk":3226,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.1413,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38.95,"date":"2025-02-02","punk":3226,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9592,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38,"date":"2024-12-09","punk":7094,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":29.2285,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0516,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Purple Hair","sales_12m":6},{"attribute":"Nerd Glasses","sales_12m":64}],"summary":["Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.3 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 26.0 to 36.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Muttonchops -9%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/7526","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}