{"punk":7663,"name":"CryptoPunk #7663","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/7663","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/7663.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Purple Lipstick","Earring","Pink With Hat","Green Eye Shadow"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":39.6358,"usd":96041,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":34.4918,"high_eth":45.547,"low_usd":83576,"high_usd":110364},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.0154,"high_eth":52.3398,"low_usd":72730,"high_usd":126824},"sigma_log":0.139,"multiple_of_floor":1.3042,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":39.6358,"usd":96041,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":34.4918,"high_eth":45.547,"low_usd":83576,"high_usd":110364},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.0154,"high_eth":52.3398,"low_usd":72730,"high_usd":126824},"sigma_log":0.139,"multiple_of_floor":1.3042,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","block":26353897,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":36,"stale":false,"label":"as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","block":26353897,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":36,"stale":false,"label":"as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 4+","terms":[{"pct":29.2,"beta":0.2562,"term":"attr:Pink With Hat","label":"Pink With Hat","sales_12m":9,"weighted_sales":3}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 4+","seen":{"n":135,"cover1":0.6,"cover2":0.815,"bias_pct":-0.9,"within10":0.763,"within25":0.933,"MdALE_pct":4.5},"thin":false,"sigma":0.054,"selection":{"n":177,"cover1":0.712,"cover2":0.921,"bias_pct":-0.5,"within10":0.819,"within25":0.966,"MdALE_pct":3.4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":85.55,"date":"2022-04-25","block":14654765,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":9,"adjusted_eth":41.9401},{"eth":49.7,"date":"2025-10-06","block":23519033,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":24,"adjusted_eth":31.014},{"eth":31.98,"date":"2026-04-04","block":24806876,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":408,"adjusted_eth":34.7221}],"comparables":[{"eth":48.1,"date":"2025-09-15","punk":5060,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.8562,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":36.48,"date":"2025-03-05","punk":5060,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.5634,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":39.96,"date":"2024-11-30","punk":4332,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3596,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":34.5,"date":"2024-11-26","punk":4332,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":28.1163,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":88,"date":"2026-10-22","punk":4405,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":85.5236,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":1452,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.2838,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35.6,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":8674,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.3606,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.38,"date":"2026-09-17","punk":3637,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.0727,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.2562,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Purple Lipstick","sales_12m":66},{"attribute":"Earring","sales_12m":303},{"attribute":"Green Eye Shadow","sales_12m":32}],"summary":["Estimate 39.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.5 to 45.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 52.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 06:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Pink With Hat +29%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/7663","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}