{"punk":7679,"name":"CryptoPunk #7679","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/7679","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/7679.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":4,"attributes":["Chinstrap","Police Cap","Medical Mask","Classic Shades"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":38.4611,"usd":87446,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.9815,"high_eth":43.5314,"low_usd":77261,"high_usd":98974},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.0236,"high_eth":49.2699,"low_usd":68262,"high_usd":112021},"sigma_log":0.1238,"multiple_of_floor":1.2656,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":37.9549,"usd":86295,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.5342,"high_eth":42.9584,"low_usd":76244,"high_usd":97671},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.6284,"high_eth":48.6214,"low_usd":67364,"high_usd":110547},"sigma_log":0.1238,"multiple_of_floor":1.2656,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":45,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":45,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 4+","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":19.8,"beta":0.1805,"term":"tone4","label":"Skin tone 4 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":25.9},{"pct":-5.3,"beta":-0.054,"term":"attr:Chinstrap","label":"Chinstrap","sales_12m":42,"weighted_sales":19.4}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 4+","seen":{"n":276,"cover1":0.736,"cover2":0.931,"bias_pct":1,"within10":0.71,"within25":0.928,"MdALE_pct":5.6},"thin":false,"sigma":0.089,"selection":{"n":293,"cover1":0.683,"cover2":0.932,"bias_pct":1.1,"within10":0.662,"within25":0.949,"MdALE_pct":6.9}},"own_sales":[{"eth":82.28,"date":"2022-04-18","block":14607496,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":180,"adjusted_eth":39.8061}],"comparables":[{"eth":37.5,"date":"2026-02-06","punk":4773,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.6633,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28,"date":"2026-01-20","punk":4773,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8267,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35.9,"date":"2026-01-14","punk":4773,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.3834,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.99,"date":"2025-12-20","punk":4773,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.8375,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":56.5,"date":"2025-07-23","punk":7480,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.7648,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":44.7,"date":"2025-07-20","punk":7975,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.3715,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":50,"date":"2025-06-30","punk":5213,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":38.4586,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":46.69,"date":"2025-04-26","punk":8716,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.838,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.1722,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Police Cap","sales_12m":29},{"attribute":"Medical Mask","sales_12m":12},{"attribute":"Classic Shades","sales_12m":64}],"summary":["Estimate 38.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.0 to 43.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 49.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Chinstrap -5%.","In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/7679","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}