{"punk":7922,"name":"CryptoPunk #7922","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/7922","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/7922.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":4,"attributes":["Black Lipstick","Mohawk","Classic Shades"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":37.8295,"usd":91664,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.6537,"high_eth":42.5234,"low_usd":81546,"high_usd":103038},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.9388,"high_eth":47.7998,"low_usd":72544,"high_usd":115823},"sigma_log":0.117,"multiple_of_floor":1.2448,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T04:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":37.8295,"usd":91664,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.6537,"high_eth":42.5234,"low_usd":81546,"high_usd":103038},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.9388,"high_eth":47.7998,"low_usd":72544,"high_usd":115823},"sigma_log":0.117,"multiple_of_floor":1.2448,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T04:04:23.000Z","block":26353297,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":43,"stale":false,"label":"as of 04:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T04:04:23.000Z","block":26353297,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":43,"stale":false,"label":"as of 04:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":23.3,"beta":0.2095,"term":"tone4","label":"Skin tone 4 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":14.7}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.1,"date":"2017-10-28","block":4443581,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":26,"adjusted_eth":37.9875},{"eth":2.35,"date":"2020-05-26","block":10138207,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":27,"adjusted_eth":57.594},{"eth":7.5,"date":"2021-02-07","block":11810575,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":185,"adjusted_eth":43.8317},{"eth":9.5,"date":"2021-02-08","block":11814347,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":29,"adjusted_eth":48.9331},{"eth":18,"date":"2021-03-28","block":12129620,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":42,"adjusted_eth":32.1966},{"eth":13,"date":"2021-05-19","block":12466674,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":157,"adjusted_eth":28.2193},{"eth":19.99,"date":"2021-07-08","block":12789166,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":92,"adjusted_eth":33.7498},{"eth":24.5,"date":"2024-10-29","block":21069920,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":2,"adjusted_eth":28.6588},{"eth":26.39,"date":"2024-10-29","block":21072531,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":153,"adjusted_eth":30.8696},{"eth":39.69,"date":"2025-03-17","block":22066364,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":16,"adjusted_eth":31.4355},{"eth":49.85,"date":"2025-05-25","block":22558066,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":17,"adjusted_eth":31.9675}],"comparables":[{"eth":32.47,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":9228,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.0225,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":41,"date":"2026-06-13","punk":7076,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":38.1037,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.83,"date":"2026-06-05","punk":3042,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.2789,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.5,"date":"2026-03-23","punk":4180,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.6796,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30,"date":"2026-02-22","punk":4180,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":30.6454,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29,"date":"2026-02-05","punk":1915,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4753,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35,"date":"2026-01-07","punk":4180,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.8131,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.12,"date":"2025-11-25","punk":4180,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.5185,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.2095,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Black Lipstick","sales_12m":95},{"attribute":"Mohawk","sales_12m":73},{"attribute":"Classic Shades","sales_12m":64}],"summary":["Estimate 37.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 04:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 04:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/7922","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}