{"punk":7957,"name":"CryptoPunk #7957","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/7957","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/7957.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Black Lipstick","Messy Hair","Clown Eyes Green"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":30.6194,"usd":69617,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.0673,"high_eth":32.2545,"low_usd":66088,"high_usd":73335},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.5937,"high_eth":33.9769,"low_usd":62738,"high_usd":77251},"sigma_log":0.052,"multiple_of_floor":1.0075,"n1_eth":30.7154,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":30.2164,"usd":68701,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.6847,"high_eth":31.83,"low_usd":65218,"high_usd":72370},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.2305,"high_eth":33.5297,"low_usd":61912,"high_usd":76234},"sigma_log":0.052,"multiple_of_floor":1.0075,"n1_eth":30.3111,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":37,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":37,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4,"beta":0.0392,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":42.5},{"pct":-4.1,"beta":-0.0424,"term":"attr:Clown Eyes Green","label":"Clown Eyes Green","sales_12m":61,"weighted_sales":10}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.35,"date":"2017-07-19","block":4042171,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":28,"adjusted_eth":34.9883},{"eth":0.35,"date":"2019-01-26","block":7130568,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":84,"adjusted_eth":35.1054},{"eth":64,"date":"2022-02-23","block":14262405,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":37,"adjusted_eth":29.3032},{"eth":64.87,"date":"2022-02-27","block":14290430,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"twin-of-nominal-24h","log_index":189,"adjusted_eth":28.4007},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-02-27","block":14290590,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":61,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-02-27","block":14290590,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":100,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2024-04-02","block":19570856,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":731,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2024-04-02","block":19570856,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":735,"adjusted_eth":null}],"comparables":[{"eth":50,"date":"2026-10-06","punk":2651,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":45.5775,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.86,"date":"2026-06-05","punk":7834,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.9216,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.5,"date":"2026-05-16","punk":2772,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.6882,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31,"date":"2026-05-16","punk":9732,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.3179,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29,"date":"2026-02-27","punk":5117,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.1458,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29,"date":"2026-02-26","punk":5117,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.1458,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.32,"date":"2026-02-12","punk":5117,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.4528,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.5,"date":"2026-01-16","punk":2697,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.6763,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0031,"type_multiple":{"sales":442,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0107,"median_multiple":1.0107},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Black Lipstick","sales_12m":95},{"attribute":"Messy Hair","sales_12m":48}],"summary":["Estimate 30.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/7957","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}