{"punk":7993,"name":"CryptoPunk #7993","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/7993","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/7993.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Earring","Clown Hair Green"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":35.1248,"usd":85110,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.1111,"high_eth":38.4214,"low_usd":77808,"high_usd":93098},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.356,"high_eth":42.0273,"low_usd":71132,"high_usd":101836},"sigma_log":0.0897,"multiple_of_floor":1.1558,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","basis":"daily close"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":35.1248,"usd":85110,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.1111,"high_eth":38.4214,"low_usd":77808,"high_usd":93098},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.356,"high_eth":42.0273,"low_usd":71132,"high_usd":101836},"sigma_log":0.0897,"multiple_of_floor":1.1558,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"daily close","as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","block":null,"eth":30.39,"punk":null,"public_asks":null,"age_minutes":57,"stale":false,"label":"as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"daily close","as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","block":null,"eth":30.39,"punk":null,"public_asks":null,"age_minutes":57,"stale":false,"label":"as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":10.1,"beta":0.0958,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":88.6},{"pct":-3.5,"beta":-0.0359,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":101.6},{"pct":-2.4,"beta":-0.0241,"term":"attr:Earring","label":"Earring","sales_12m":303,"weighted_sales":70.6}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.1,"date":"2017-11-01","block":4470490,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":28,"adjusted_eth":33.7667},{"eth":0.38,"date":"2019-03-28","block":7458456,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":89,"adjusted_eth":33.9653}],"comparables":[{"eth":50,"date":"2026-05-19","punk":8344,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":44.7175,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":39,"date":"2025-11-01","punk":2845,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.0414,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":50,"date":"2025-06-15","punk":7848,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.5938,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":49.99,"date":"2025-05-03","punk":4542,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":34.1469,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":57.5,"date":"2025-04-30","punk":2336,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":39.7323,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":47.5,"date":"2025-02-03","punk":8325,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.1514,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":40,"date":"2024-11-17","punk":2336,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.8629,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":36.69,"date":"2024-11-15","punk":4542,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.3501,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.0812,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Clown Hair Green","sales_12m":15}],"summary":["Estimate 35.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.1 to 38.4 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Earring -2%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/7993","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}