{"punk":8051,"name":"CryptoPunk #8051","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/8051","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/8051.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Handlebars","Messy Hair","Clown Eyes Green"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":33.1224,"usd":75308,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":30.5512,"high_eth":35.91,"low_usd":69462,"high_usd":81646},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.1796,"high_eth":38.9321,"low_usd":64070,"high_usd":88517},"sigma_log":0.0808,"multiple_of_floor":1.0899,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":32.6864,"usd":74317,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":30.1491,"high_eth":35.4373,"low_usd":68548,"high_usd":80571},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.8087,"high_eth":38.4197,"low_usd":63227,"high_usd":87352},"sigma_log":0.0808,"multiple_of_floor":1.0899,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":41,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":41,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":67},{"pct":-6.1,"beta":-0.0634,"term":"attr:Handlebars","label":"Handlebars","sales_12m":33,"weighted_sales":11.8},{"pct":-7.5,"beta":-0.0779,"term":"attr:Clown Eyes Green","label":"Clown Eyes Green","sales_12m":61,"weighted_sales":8.8}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.25,"date":"2019-11-23","block":8984581,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":37,"adjusted_eth":20.8264},{"eth":0.26,"date":"2019-11-23","block":8984833,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":56,"adjusted_eth":21.6594},{"eth":17.88,"date":"2021-02-21","block":11902321,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":7,"adjusted_eth":26.8111},{"eth":35.45,"date":"2021-08-01","block":12942642,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":364,"adjusted_eth":32.4625},{"eth":52.5,"date":"2021-08-22","block":13076205,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":144,"adjusted_eth":29.7071},{"eth":99.99,"date":"2021-08-28","block":13112188,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":46,"adjusted_eth":21.7775},{"eth":121,"date":"2021-08-30","block":13128038,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":26,"adjusted_eth":30.6253},{"eth":57.5,"date":"2022-05-31","block":14880451,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":28,"adjusted_eth":36.159},{"eth":28.75,"date":"2026-04-08","block":24835793,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":10,"adjusted_eth":30.5208},{"eth":30.4,"date":"2026-04-09","block":24843045,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":231,"adjusted_eth":32.5722}],"comparables":[{"eth":59.68,"date":"2025-10-07","punk":3390,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.9641,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":50,"date":"2025-09-13","punk":2292,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.1643,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":58.69,"date":"2025-07-25","punk":1370,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":33.8548,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":50.025,"date":"2025-05-17","punk":5930,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":32.2011,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":58,"date":"2025-03-03","punk":7685,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":48.3441,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":60,"date":"2025-02-17","punk":7685,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":50.7016,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":39,"date":"2025-02-07","punk":4204,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":32.9839,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":41.75,"date":"2024-12-17","punk":5542,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.3805,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.0228,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Messy Hair","sales_12m":48}],"summary":["Estimate 33.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.6 to 35.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.2 to 38.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Handlebars -6%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/8051","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}