{"punk":8091,"name":"CryptoPunk #8091","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/8091","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/8091.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Knitted Cap","Regular Shades"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":31.5687,"usd":71775,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.916,"high_eth":33.3128,"low_usd":68018,"high_usd":75741},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.3497,"high_eth":35.1533,"low_usd":64457,"high_usd":79925},"sigma_log":0.0538,"multiple_of_floor":1.0388,"n1_eth":30.7154,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":31.1532,"usd":70831,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.5222,"high_eth":32.8743,"low_usd":67122,"high_usd":74744},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.9766,"high_eth":34.6906,"low_usd":63608,"high_usd":78873},"sigma_log":0.0538,"multiple_of_floor":1.0388,"n1_eth":30.3111,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":50,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":50,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":2.8,"beta":0.0274,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":53.2}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.3,"date":"2019-07-20","block":8187224,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":13,"adjusted_eth":29.99},{"eth":0.59,"date":"2020-01-04","block":9215704,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":4,"adjusted_eth":38.4654},{"eth":19.99,"date":"2021-04-13","block":12232936,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":266,"adjusted_eth":29.6049},{"eth":41,"date":"2021-08-05","block":12965606,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":13,"adjusted_eth":27.6685},{"eth":48,"date":"2021-08-20","block":13063002,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":68,"adjusted_eth":27.6884},{"eth":64,"date":"2021-08-23","block":13079596,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":112,"adjusted_eth":28.3593},{"eth":94.2069,"date":"2021-09-01","block":13142535,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":119,"adjusted_eth":29.7428},{"eth":82,"date":"2021-09-11","block":13202079,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":333,"adjusted_eth":29.6322},{"eth":93,"date":"2021-09-16","block":13234151,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":267,"adjusted_eth":27.3438},{"eth":119.99,"date":"2021-10-01","block":13331727,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":97,"adjusted_eth":28.9036},{"eth":81.18,"date":"2021-12-31","block":13914760,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":14,"adjusted_eth":38.0702},{"eth":67.95,"date":"2022-12-30","block":16298897,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":25,"adjusted_eth":31.1403},{"eth":64.95,"date":"2023-01-01","block":16308713,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":3,"adjusted_eth":29.7518},{"eth":68.2,"date":"2023-01-07","block":16351367,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":101,"adjusted_eth":30.5819},{"eth":64.98,"date":"2024-02-27","block":19316442,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":130,"adjusted_eth":34.1886}],"comparables":[{"eth":28.88,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":874,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3963,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":31.9949,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":4554,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.5876,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":31.98,"date":"2026-09-21","punk":6573,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.9381,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":27.95,"date":"2026-09-05","punk":4554,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":27.95,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":30.5,"date":"2026-08-31","punk":8154,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.5932,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":36.25,"date":"2026-07-22","punk":4710,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.973,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":31.43,"date":"2026-07-02","punk":6573,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4834,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":30.49,"date":"2026-05-31","punk":3646,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.7275,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.0274,"type_multiple":{"sales":442,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0107,"median_multiple":1.0107},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Knitted Cap","sales_12m":49},{"attribute":"Regular Shades","sales_12m":47}],"summary":["Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/8091","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}