{"punk":8095,"name":"CryptoPunk #8095","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/8095","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/8095.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Shadow Beard","Vampire Hair","Eye Patch"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":30.3328,"usd":68966,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.8223,"high_eth":33.0698,"low_usd":63258,"high_usd":75188},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.5197,"high_eth":36.0537,"low_usd":58022,"high_usd":81973},"sigma_log":0.0864,"multiple_of_floor":0.9981,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.9336,"usd":68058,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.4561,"high_eth":32.6345,"low_usd":62425,"high_usd":74199},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.1838,"high_eth":35.5792,"low_usd":57259,"high_usd":80894},"sigma_log":0.0864,"multiple_of_floor":0.9981,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":51,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":51,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-10.5,"beta":-0.1109,"term":"attr:Vampire Hair","label":"Vampire Hair","sales_12m":18,"weighted_sales":6.6}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.25,"date":"2019-11-22","block":8982296,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":100,"adjusted_eth":22.0515},{"eth":0.37,"date":"2019-12-22","block":9147952,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":20,"adjusted_eth":29.2008},{"eth":0.88,"date":"2020-01-16","block":9290546,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":55,"adjusted_eth":45.5021},{"eth":5,"date":"2020-10-11","block":11033593,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":16,"adjusted_eth":31.9043},{"eth":11,"date":"2021-02-17","block":11874302,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":267,"adjusted_eth":25.6126},{"eth":24.94,"date":"2021-03-15","block":12041328,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":282,"adjusted_eth":37.3975},{"eth":65,"date":"2022-06-19","block":14988062,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":350,"adjusted_eth":29.2476},{"eth":64,"date":"2022-08-21","block":15381648,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":36,"adjusted_eth":28.8843},{"eth":69.95,"date":"2022-11-23","block":16033483,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":65,"adjusted_eth":31.809}],"comparables":[{"eth":39.69,"date":"2026-08-08","punk":9950,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.9659,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":95,"date":"2026-07-27","punk":9774,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":87.9608,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":39.99,"date":"2026-05-24","punk":8155,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.0909,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.95,"date":"2025-12-30","punk":9987,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.5275,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.1,"date":"2025-11-27","punk":2528,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.8629,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":48.13,"date":"2025-10-10","punk":4765,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.134,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":47.6065,"date":"2025-10-08","punk":3433,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4496,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":43.5,"date":"2025-09-25","punk":8237,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":29.0678,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0652,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Shadow Beard","sales_12m":57},{"attribute":"Eye Patch","sales_12m":74}],"summary":["Estimate 30.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.8 to 33.1 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 36.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Vampire Hair -11%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/8095","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}