{"punk":8553,"name":"CryptoPunk #8553","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/8553","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/8553.svg","type":"Zombie","skin_tone":null,"attributes":["Front Beard Dark"],"attribute_count":1,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":483.6971,"usd":1099747,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":273.543,"high_eth":855.3057,"low_usd":621935,"high_usd":1944646},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":154.6955,"high_eth":1512.4089,"low_usd":351720,"high_usd":3438654},"sigma_log":0.57,"multiple_of_floor":15.9163,"n1_eth":483.6971,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Zombie","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":477.3306,"usd":1085272,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":269.9426,"high_eth":844.048,"low_usd":613749,"high_usd":1919051},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":152.6594,"high_eth":1492.5022,"low_usd":347091,"high_usd":3393394},"sigma_log":0.57,"multiple_of_floor":15.9163,"n1_eth":477.3306,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Zombie","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":50,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":50,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Zombie","date":"2026-11-05","eth":480,"public_asks":10,"punk":2306}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Zombie","terms":[],"backtest":{"cell":"Zombie","rare":{"n":110,"cover1":0.736,"cover2":0.927},"thin":true,"sigma":0.57},"own_sales":[],"comparables":[{"eth":810,"date":"2021-07-31","punk":6649,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":810,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":450,"date":"2021-07-29","punk":6649,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":593.4697,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":50.2,"date":"2021-01-23","punk":6649,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":348.4949,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":45,"date":"2021-01-18","punk":6649,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":306.7159,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":36,"date":"2020-12-26","punk":6649,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":210.6615,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":1.9,"date":"2018-08-14","punk":6649,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":569.81,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":440,"date":"2025-05-18","punk":3609,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":283.1674,"shared_attributes":0},{"eth":420,"date":"2025-03-23","punk":2967,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":314.9737,"shared_attributes":0}],"premium_log":0,"type_multiple":{"sales":111,"period":"all history, weighted to recent sales (half-life 2 years)","multiple":15.9163,"median_multiple":15.9163},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 484 ETH (beta), 1σ range 274 to 855 ETH, 2σ range 155 to 1,512 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Zombie punks: 15.9x the floor, the weighted median of 111 sales over all history; too few sales for attribute terms.","In the backtest, 93% of 110 Zombie sales landed inside the 2σ range. The range is wide on purpose."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/8553","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}