{"punk":8575,"name":"CryptoPunk #8575","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/8575","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/8575.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Purple Hair","VR"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":40.0639,"usd":91090,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":35.0671,"high_eth":45.7727,"low_usd":79729,"high_usd":104070},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.6935,"high_eth":52.295,"low_usd":69786,"high_usd":118899},"sigma_log":0.1332,"multiple_of_floor":1.3183,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":39.5366,"usd":89891,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":34.6055,"high_eth":45.1702,"low_usd":78680,"high_usd":102700},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.2895,"high_eth":51.6067,"low_usd":68867,"high_usd":117334},"sigma_log":0.1332,"multiple_of_floor":1.3183,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":51,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":51,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":{"ask_eth":280,"ask_usd":624487,"z":14.6,"z_text":"14.6σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2021-10-06T14:16:00.000Z","days_listed":1856},"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-3.5,"beta":-0.0359,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":102.4},{"pct":22.5,"beta":0.2032,"term":"attr:VR","label":"VR","sales_12m":24,"weighted_sales":3.6}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":9.5,"date":"2021-02-14","block":11852805,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":190,"adjusted_eth":34.5339},{"eth":15.75,"date":"2021-02-16","block":11870249,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":57,"adjusted_eth":56.2313},{"eth":170,"date":"2021-08-29","block":13123263,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":216,"adjusted_eth":39.9867}],"comparables":[{"eth":31.99,"date":"2026-09-10","punk":6669,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.0756,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":38.95,"date":"2026-08-10","punk":3041,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.5263,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":57,"date":"2026-07-21","punk":9558,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":53.4197,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":48.88,"date":"2026-07-02","punk":1575,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":45.8527,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33.9,"date":"2026-06-05","punk":8863,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.7707,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":39,"date":"2026-04-21","punk":4855,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":41.7718,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":46,"date":"2026-04-16","punk":6207,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":53.0796,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33,"date":"2026-03-16","punk":8863,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.021,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.213,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Purple Hair","sales_12m":6}],"summary":["Estimate 40.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.1 to 45.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.7 to 52.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, VR +23%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/8575","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}