{"punk":89,"name":"CryptoPunk #89","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/89","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/89.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Choker"],"attribute_count":1,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":36.1573,"usd":82208,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.891,"high_eth":45.2512,"low_usd":65687,"high_usd":102884},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":23.0849,"high_eth":56.6323,"low_usd":52487,"high_usd":128761},"sigma_log":0.2243,"multiple_of_floor":1.1898,"n1_eth":30.7154,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 0-1","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":35.6814,"usd":81126,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.5107,"high_eth":44.6556,"low_usd":64823,"high_usd":101530},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":22.7811,"high_eth":55.8869,"low_usd":51796,"high_usd":127066},"sigma_log":0.2243,"multiple_of_floor":1.1898,"n1_eth":30.3111,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 0-1","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","block":26351503,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":37,"stale":false,"label":"as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","block":26351503,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":37,"stale":false,"label":"as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":{"ask_eth":890,"ask_usd":2156543,"z":14.28,"z_text":"14.3σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2021-02-22T19:56:43.000Z","days_listed":2082},"argument":{"cell":"Female 0-1","terms":[{"pct":17.7,"beta":0.1631,"term":"attr:Choker","label":"Choker","sales_12m":2,"weighted_sales":0.8}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 0-1","seen":{"n":18,"cover1":0.778,"cover2":1,"bias_pct":13.4,"within10":0.222,"within25":0.778,"MdALE_pct":19.5},"thin":true,"sigma":0.209,"selection":{"n":28,"cover1":0.821,"cover2":0.964,"bias_pct":2.3,"within10":0.607,"within25":0.857,"MdALE_pct":9}},"own_sales":[{"eth":1.5,"date":"2017-07-12","block":4013635,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":96,"adjusted_eth":119.7046},{"eth":20,"date":"2020-05-28","block":10151715,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":40,"adjusted_eth":434.6377},{"eth":19.99,"date":"2020-09-06","block":10808810,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":190,"adjusted_eth":681.2501}],"comparables":[{"eth":52,"date":"2026-07-01","punk":5668,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":50.3058,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":41,"date":"2026-06-13","punk":7076,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.6021,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":79.5,"date":"2025-08-15","punk":1714,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":48.1658,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":53.5,"date":"2025-06-15","punk":2146,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.5841,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":52.5,"date":"2025-06-12","punk":6794,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.7917,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":52.99,"date":"2025-05-13","punk":6794,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.1146,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":50.9949,"date":"2025-03-23","punk":7942,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":38.243,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":45,"date":"2024-12-31","punk":7942,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":36.7324,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.1631,"type_multiple":{"sales":442,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0107,"median_multiple":1.0107},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 36.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.9 to 45.3 ETH, 2σ range 23.1 to 56.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Choker +18%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 0-1 sales landed within ±9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±19.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/89","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}