{"punk":9000,"name":"CryptoPunk #9000","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9000","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9000.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Hot Lipstick","Blonde Short","Cigarette"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":29.1311,"usd":70587,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.4874,"high_eth":30.8731,"low_usd":66604,"high_usd":74808},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.9364,"high_eth":32.7193,"low_usd":62846,"high_usd":79282},"sigma_log":0.0581,"multiple_of_floor":0.9586,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T11:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":29.1311,"usd":70587,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.4874,"high_eth":30.8731,"low_usd":66604,"high_usd":74808},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.9364,"high_eth":32.7193,"low_usd":62846,"high_usd":79282},"sigma_log":0.0581,"multiple_of_floor":0.9586,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T11:04:35.000Z","block":26355395,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":50,"stale":false,"label":"as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T11:04:35.000Z","block":26355395,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":50,"stale":false,"label":"as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":405,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":-2.9,"beta":-0.0292,"term":"attr:Blonde Short","label":"Blonde Short","sales_12m":22,"weighted_sales":9.4},{"pct":-2.2,"beta":-0.0225,"term":"attr:Cigarette","label":"Cigarette","sales_12m":110,"weighted_sales":14.2}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":28,"date":"2021-03-10","block":12009030,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":86,"adjusted_eth":50.0836},{"eth":31.9,"date":"2021-07-31","block":12931710,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":125,"adjusted_eth":32.3255},{"eth":0,"date":"2021-08-15","block":13028385,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"below-half-floor","log_index":50,"adjusted_eth":0},{"eth":77,"date":"2022-02-02","block":14128658,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":2,"adjusted_eth":31.6434},{"eth":70.95,"date":"2022-02-05","block":14147486,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":24,"adjusted_eth":30.8068},{"eth":54,"date":"2024-03-05","block":19370934,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":3,"adjusted_eth":29.8429},{"eth":0,"date":"2024-03-07","block":19383995,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":181,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2024-03-07","block":19383995,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":185,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":28.99,"date":"2024-08-25","block":20602808,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":199,"adjusted_eth":29.9764}],"comparables":[{"eth":27.09,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":2278,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.8926,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29,"date":"2026-10-20","punk":2994,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":28.1839,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.42,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":4065,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3806,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.01,"date":"2026-05-15","punk":5032,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.4575,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.01,"date":"2026-05-14","punk":5032,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4864,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":64.88,"date":"2026-04-30","punk":4099,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":64.0163,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.75,"date":"2026-01-04","punk":5770,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.9813,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":27.42,"date":"2025-12-29","punk":7999,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":31.0699,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0517,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Hot Lipstick","sales_12m":88}],"summary":["Estimate 29.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.5 to 30.9 ETH, 2σ range 25.9 to 32.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 11:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Blonde Short -3%, Cigarette -2%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9000","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}