{"punk":9012,"name":"CryptoPunk #9012","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9012","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9012.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Earring","Frumpy Hair","Medical Mask"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":30.6634,"usd":74300,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.1776,"high_eth":33.3684,"low_usd":68277,"high_usd":80854},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.8934,"high_eth":36.3121,"low_usd":62742,"high_usd":87987},"sigma_log":0.0845,"multiple_of_floor":1.009,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","basis":"daily close"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.6634,"usd":74300,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.1776,"high_eth":33.3684,"low_usd":68277,"high_usd":80854},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.8934,"high_eth":36.3121,"low_usd":62742,"high_usd":87987},"sigma_log":0.0845,"multiple_of_floor":1.009,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"daily close","as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","block":null,"eth":30.39,"punk":null,"public_asks":null,"age_minutes":37,"stale":false,"label":"as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"daily close","as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","block":null,"eth":30.39,"punk":null,"public_asks":null,"age_minutes":37,"stale":false,"label":"as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-2.4,"beta":-0.0241,"term":"attr:Earring","label":"Earring","sales_12m":303,"weighted_sales":70.6},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.076,"term":"attr:Frumpy Hair","label":"Frumpy Hair","sales_12m":59,"weighted_sales":19.8}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":50,"date":"2021-02-22","block":11907170,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":268,"adjusted_eth":64.6596},{"eth":27,"date":"2021-05-07","block":12388584,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":193,"adjusted_eth":41.5458},{"eth":18,"date":"2021-05-16","block":12447980,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":284,"adjusted_eth":35.2916},{"eth":17.4,"date":"2021-05-26","block":12510285,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":144,"adjusted_eth":34.1152},{"eth":27.72,"date":"2021-07-28","block":12915737,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":42,"adjusted_eth":38.4662},{"eth":50,"date":"2023-08-22","block":17971881,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":248,"adjusted_eth":32.1996},{"eth":30,"date":"2026-01-02","block":24149591,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":328,"adjusted_eth":32.5723}],"comparables":[{"eth":39.99,"date":"2026-09-29","punk":7559,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.2883,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30,"date":"2026-09-09","punk":7559,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4814,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.4,"date":"2026-08-29","punk":3218,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8857,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35,"date":"2026-07-31","punk":8949,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":32.961,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":27.79,"date":"2026-04-07","punk":8949,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.8952,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35,"date":"2026-02-12","punk":8949,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.6332,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29,"date":"2026-02-05","punk":3218,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4753,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34,"date":"2026-01-14","punk":7559,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.8771,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0547,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Medical Mask","sales_12m":12}],"summary":["Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.2 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 25.9 to 36.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Earring -2%, Frumpy Hair -7%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9012","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}