{"punk":9054,"name":"CryptoPunk #9054","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9054","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9054.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Mole","Big Beard","Purple Hair","Horned Rim Glasses"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":31.6048,"usd":71858,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.89,"high_eth":34.5747,"low_usd":65685,"high_usd":78610},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.4083,"high_eth":37.8237,"low_usd":60043,"high_usd":85997},"sigma_log":0.0898,"multiple_of_floor":1.04,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":31.1888,"usd":70912,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.5097,"high_eth":34.1196,"low_usd":64820,"high_usd":77575},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.0607,"high_eth":37.3259,"low_usd":59252,"high_usd":84865},"sigma_log":0.0898,"multiple_of_floor":1.04,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","block":26351503,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":39,"stale":false,"label":"as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","block":26351503,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":39,"stale":false,"label":"as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 4+","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-6.7,"beta":-0.0698,"term":"attr:Mole","label":"Mole","sales_12m":89,"weighted_sales":22.7}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 4+","seen":{"n":276,"cover1":0.736,"cover2":0.931,"bias_pct":1,"within10":0.71,"within25":0.928,"MdALE_pct":5.6},"thin":false,"sigma":0.089,"selection":{"n":293,"cover1":0.683,"cover2":0.932,"bias_pct":1.1,"within10":0.662,"within25":0.949,"MdALE_pct":6.9}},"own_sales":[{"eth":54,"date":"2021-08-01","block":12937713,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":94,"adjusted_eth":49.4492},{"eth":84.99,"date":"2021-08-21","block":13069506,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":86,"adjusted_eth":49.0163},{"eth":88.8,"date":"2021-12-31","block":13915908,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":111,"adjusted_eth":41.6437}],"comparables":[{"eth":60,"date":"2026-01-08","punk":1831,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":62.0697,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":42,"date":"2025-10-22","punk":6138,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.2969,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":60,"date":"2025-08-05","punk":4234,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":34.9398,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":45,"date":"2025-07-04","punk":1831,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.6127,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":69,"date":"2025-05-24","punk":308,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":43.6655,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":69,"date":"2025-05-09","punk":5767,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":46.1488,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":62.5,"date":"2025-04-13","punk":7163,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":44.1133,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":55.99,"date":"2025-03-25","punk":7163,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":40.1804,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0241,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Big Beard","sales_12m":7},{"attribute":"Purple Hair","sales_12m":6},{"attribute":"Horned Rim Glasses","sales_12m":50}],"summary":["Estimate 31.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.9 to 34.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.4 to 37.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Mole -7%.","In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9054","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}