{"punk":9065,"name":"CryptoPunk #9065","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9065","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9065.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Mole","Front Beard Dark","Bandana","Cigarette"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":31.1198,"usd":75406,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.407,"high_eth":34.0916,"low_usd":68832,"high_usd":82607},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.9307,"high_eth":37.3473,"low_usd":62832,"high_usd":90496},"sigma_log":0.0912,"multiple_of_floor":1.024,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T04:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":31.1198,"usd":75406,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.407,"high_eth":34.0916,"low_usd":68832,"high_usd":82607},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.9307,"high_eth":37.3473,"low_usd":62832,"high_usd":90496},"sigma_log":0.0912,"multiple_of_floor":1.024,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T04:04:23.000Z","block":26353297,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":44,"stale":false,"label":"as of 04:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T04:04:23.000Z","block":26353297,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":44,"stale":false,"label":"as of 04:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 4+","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":10.1,"beta":0.0958,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":88.6},{"pct":-6.7,"beta":-0.0698,"term":"attr:Mole","label":"Mole","sales_12m":89,"weighted_sales":22.5},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0756,"term":"attr:Front Beard Dark","label":"Front Beard Dark","sales_12m":35,"weighted_sales":13.3},{"pct":-3.5,"beta":-0.0357,"term":"attr:Bandana","label":"Bandana","sales_12m":63,"weighted_sales":14.1}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 4+","seen":{"n":276,"cover1":0.736,"cover2":0.931,"bias_pct":1,"within10":0.71,"within25":0.928,"MdALE_pct":5.6},"thin":false,"sigma":0.089,"selection":{"n":293,"cover1":0.683,"cover2":0.932,"bias_pct":1.1,"within10":0.662,"within25":0.949,"MdALE_pct":6.9}},"own_sales":[{"eth":23,"date":"2021-03-17","block":12053876,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":92,"adjusted_eth":31.218},{"eth":30,"date":"2021-03-19","block":12071424,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":79,"adjusted_eth":43.435},{"eth":26.99,"date":"2021-07-30","block":12929843,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":218,"adjusted_eth":31.6445},{"eth":41.5,"date":"2025-10-23","block":23639613,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":55,"adjusted_eth":33.2766},{"eth":28.97,"date":"2026-04-01","block":24783667,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":92,"adjusted_eth":31.1645},{"eth":29.38,"date":"2026-04-22","block":24936276,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":990,"adjusted_eth":30.9161},{"eth":30.86,"date":"2026-08-31","block":25876510,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":312,"adjusted_eth":29.3165},{"eth":31.88,"date":"2026-09-21","block":26026008,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":676,"adjusted_eth":31.2527}],"comparables":[{"eth":31,"date":"2026-02-11","punk":9305,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.5502,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":27.62,"date":"2026-11-02","punk":3425,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":27.6018,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.99,"date":"2026-08-31","punk":2687,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.24,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.99,"date":"2026-07-30","punk":3425,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.0584,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.869,"date":"2026-07-12","punk":2957,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.6655,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.25,"date":"2026-07-03","punk":2957,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":31.1488,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.22,"date":"2026-07-03","punk":5450,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.1839,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.2,"date":"2026-04-28","punk":8788,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.7049,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0399,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Cigarette","sales_12m":110}],"summary":["Estimate 31.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 25.9 to 37.3 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 04:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 04:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mole -7%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Bandana -4%.","In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9065","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}