{"punk":9090,"name":"CryptoPunk #9090","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9090","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9090.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Frown","Front Beard Dark","Earring","Shaved Head"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":32.0114,"usd":77566,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.28,"high_eth":34.9977,"low_usd":70948,"high_usd":84802},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.7815,"high_eth":38.2626,"low_usd":64894,"high_usd":92713},"sigma_log":0.0892,"multiple_of_floor":1.0534,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T11:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":32.0114,"usd":77566,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.28,"high_eth":34.9977,"low_usd":70948,"high_usd":84802},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.7815,"high_eth":38.2626,"low_usd":64894,"high_usd":92713},"sigma_log":0.0892,"multiple_of_floor":1.0534,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T11:04:35.000Z","block":26355395,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":37,"stale":false,"label":"as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T11:04:35.000Z","block":26355395,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":37,"stale":false,"label":"as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":745,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 4+","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":66.5},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0756,"term":"attr:Front Beard Dark","label":"Front Beard Dark","sales_12m":35,"weighted_sales":13.3},{"pct":-2.4,"beta":-0.0241,"term":"attr:Earring","label":"Earring","sales_12m":303,"weighted_sales":70.6},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0758,"term":"attr:Shaved Head","label":"Shaved Head","sales_12m":42,"weighted_sales":12.5}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 4+","seen":{"n":276,"cover1":0.736,"cover2":0.931,"bias_pct":1,"within10":0.71,"within25":0.928,"MdALE_pct":5.6},"thin":false,"sigma":0.089,"selection":{"n":293,"cover1":0.683,"cover2":0.932,"bias_pct":1.1,"within10":0.662,"within25":0.949,"MdALE_pct":6.9}},"own_sales":[{"eth":9.5,"date":"2021-02-16","block":11867693,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":55,"adjusted_eth":34.3696},{"eth":0,"date":"2021-07-30","block":12923976,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":247,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":32.95,"date":"2021-08-02","block":12947594,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":235,"adjusted_eth":30.1158},{"eth":43.95,"date":"2021-08-04","block":12960983,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":16,"adjusted_eth":38.7254},{"eth":84.77,"date":"2021-08-25","block":13096312,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":52,"adjusted_eth":32.7131},{"eth":68,"date":"2022-03-20","block":14424178,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":60,"adjusted_eth":28.7216},{"eth":71.95,"date":"2022-03-21","block":14427551,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":24,"adjusted_eth":30.1595},{"eth":62,"date":"2023-11-12","block":18555180,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":98,"adjusted_eth":31.5344}],"comparables":[{"eth":28.95,"date":"2026-04-08","punk":6188,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.143,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":28.29,"date":"2026-04-02","punk":6188,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.2744,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":45.69,"date":"2025-09-14","punk":1863,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":28.7062,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":47,"date":"2025-07-20","punk":8812,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.2292,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":43.888,"date":"2024-12-31","punk":8812,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.3026,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":32.5,"date":"2024-11-13","punk":8812,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.0296,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":30.4,"date":"2026-10-15","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.8114,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.31,"date":"2026-10-08","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.0538,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0116,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Frown","sales_12m":40}],"summary":["Estimate 32.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 35.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.8 to 38.3 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 11:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Earring -2%, Shaved Head -7%.","In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9090","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}