{"punk":9112,"name":"CryptoPunk #9112","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9112","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9112.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Buck Teeth","Shadow Beard","Mohawk Dark"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":35.2376,"usd":85384,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.1905,"high_eth":38.5731,"low_usd":78000,"high_usd":93466},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.4069,"high_eth":42.2244,"low_usd":71255,"high_usd":102313},"sigma_log":0.0904,"multiple_of_floor":1.1595,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":35.2376,"usd":85384,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.1905,"high_eth":38.5731,"low_usd":78000,"high_usd":93466},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.4069,"high_eth":42.2244,"low_usd":71255,"high_usd":102313},"sigma_log":0.0904,"multiple_of_floor":1.1595,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","block":26353897,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":44,"stale":false,"label":"as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","block":26353897,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":44,"stale":false,"label":"as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":{"ask_eth":72,"ask_usd":160976,"z":7.9,"z_text":"7.9σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2025-09-09T19:41:23.000Z","days_listed":422},"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":66.5},{"pct":-7.6,"beta":-0.0795,"term":"attr:Mohawk Dark","label":"Mohawk Dark","sales_12m":53,"weighted_sales":13.5}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":99.99,"date":"2022-01-25","block":14076399,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":126,"adjusted_eth":38.9826},{"eth":109.95,"date":"2022-01-28","block":14092366,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":63,"adjusted_eth":39.3567},{"eth":128.95,"date":"2022-01-31","block":14115533,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":102,"adjusted_eth":46.6801},{"eth":134,"date":"2022-02-28","block":14291482,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":432,"adjusted_eth":59.8862},{"eth":69.69,"date":"2022-06-03","block":14898237,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":103,"adjusted_eth":43.3104},{"eth":76.95,"date":"2022-06-15","block":14965095,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":403,"adjusted_eth":47.9203},{"eth":88,"date":"2022-07-29","block":15234579,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":3,"adjusted_eth":38.7864},{"eth":89.95,"date":"2022-12-21","block":16233697,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":119,"adjusted_eth":43.7373},{"eth":66,"date":"2023-07-17","block":17713454,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":166,"adjusted_eth":40.2032}],"comparables":[{"eth":45.5,"date":"2026-06-30","punk":2276,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":43.2513,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.1,"date":"2025-11-27","punk":2528,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.3145,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":45,"date":"2025-10-25","punk":6746,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.1555,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":40,"date":"2025-10-22","punk":6746,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":31.1692,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":59.95,"date":"2025-04-07","punk":2276,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":42.7772,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":45.45,"date":"2025-04-05","punk":791,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":32.4307,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":51.5,"date":"2025-03-12","punk":6746,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":41.41,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":40,"date":"2024-11-28","punk":791,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4814,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.0844,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Buck Teeth","sales_12m":3},{"attribute":"Shadow Beard","sales_12m":55}],"summary":["Estimate 35.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.2 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 06:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mohawk Dark -8%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9112","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}