{"punk":9126,"name":"CryptoPunk #9126","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9126","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9126.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Purple Lipstick","Earring","Frumpy Hair","Clown Eyes Green"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":30.2225,"usd":73232,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.619,"high_eth":31.9158,"low_usd":69346,"high_usd":77335},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.1006,"high_eth":33.704,"low_usd":65667,"high_usd":81668},"sigma_log":0.0545,"multiple_of_floor":0.9945,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Female 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T11:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.2225,"usd":73232,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.619,"high_eth":31.9158,"low_usd":69346,"high_usd":77335},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.1006,"high_eth":33.704,"low_usd":65667,"high_usd":81668},"sigma_log":0.0545,"multiple_of_floor":0.9945,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Female 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T11:04:35.000Z","block":26355395,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":39,"stale":false,"label":"as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T11:04:35.000Z","block":26355395,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":39,"stale":false,"label":"as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":405,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 4+","terms":[{"pct":2.8,"beta":0.0274,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":52.7},{"pct":-4.1,"beta":-0.0424,"term":"attr:Clown Eyes Green","label":"Clown Eyes Green","sales_12m":61,"weighted_sales":9.9}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 4+","seen":{"n":135,"cover1":0.6,"cover2":0.815,"bias_pct":-0.9,"within10":0.763,"within25":0.933,"MdALE_pct":4.5},"thin":false,"sigma":0.054,"selection":{"n":177,"cover1":0.712,"cover2":0.921,"bias_pct":-0.5,"within10":0.819,"within25":0.966,"MdALE_pct":3.4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.25,"date":"2019-09-02","block":8472890,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":128,"adjusted_eth":25.325},{"eth":1.99,"date":"2020-06-19","block":10294245,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":160,"adjusted_eth":61.087},{"eth":3,"date":"2020-07-28","block":10546106,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":199,"adjusted_eth":102.4382},{"eth":6,"date":"2020-09-27","block":10945476,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":252,"adjusted_eth":55.7615},{"eth":8.8,"date":"2021-02-16","block":11865519,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":162,"adjusted_eth":31.8371},{"eth":28,"date":"2021-02-24","block":11918172,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":162,"adjusted_eth":38.6782},{"eth":50,"date":"2021-08-06","block":12969480,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":53,"adjusted_eth":31.0102},{"eth":80,"date":"2022-03-12","block":14368636,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":6,"adjusted_eth":34.5341}],"comparables":[{"eth":30.48,"date":"2026-06-25","punk":8999,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4153,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":29.79,"date":"2026-03-11","punk":5629,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8036,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":46.99,"date":"2025-05-15","punk":8580,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.6509,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":42.75,"date":"2025-05-02","punk":8580,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.567,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":42.65,"date":"2025-04-29","punk":8580,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":29.4643,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":39.99,"date":"2025-02-06","punk":6321,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.4165,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":38.25,"date":"2024-11-28","punk":250,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.1479,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":28.994,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":3364,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.9233,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.015,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Purple Lipstick","sales_12m":66},{"attribute":"Earring","sales_12m":303},{"attribute":"Frumpy Hair","sales_12m":59}],"summary":["Estimate 30.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.6 to 31.9 ETH, 2σ range 27.1 to 33.7 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 11:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9126","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}