{"punk":9137,"name":"CryptoPunk #9137","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9137","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9137.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Luxurious Beard","Hoodie","3D Glasses"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":201.2105,"usd":487550,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":80.4429,"high_eth":503.2845,"low_usd":194920,"high_usd":1219500},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":32.1606,"high_eth":1258.8571,"low_usd":77928,"high_usd":3050314},"sigma_log":0.9168,"multiple_of_floor":6.6209,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T11:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":201.2105,"usd":487550,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":80.4429,"high_eth":503.2845,"low_usd":194920,"high_usd":1219500},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":32.1606,"high_eth":1258.8571,"low_usd":77928,"high_usd":3050314},"sigma_log":0.9168,"multiple_of_floor":6.6209,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T11:04:35.000Z","block":26355395,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":30,"stale":false,"label":"as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T11:04:35.000Z","block":26355395,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":30,"stale":false,"label":"as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":745,"punk":3425}},"listing":{"ask_eth":390,"ask_usd":871952,"z":0.72,"z_text":"0.7σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2022-06-20T13:26:50.000Z","days_listed":1599},"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":237.4,"beta":1.2162,"term":"attr:Hoodie","label":"Hoodie","sales_12m":20,"weighted_sales":7},{"pct":75.9,"beta":0.565,"term":"attr:3D Glasses","label":"3D Glasses","sales_12m":11,"weighted_sales":3.6}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":300,"date":"2021-12-05","block":13746712,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":168,"adjusted_eth":132.6109},{"eth":310,"date":"2021-12-20","block":13844660,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":16,"adjusted_eth":157.146}],"comparables":[{"eth":278,"date":"2026-06-26","punk":4441,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":264.0957,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":165,"date":"2026-06-18","punk":9953,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":153.344,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":200,"date":"2026-06-13","punk":5092,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":185.8716,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":205,"date":"2026-05-04","punk":6634,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":201.2908,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":140,"date":"2026-04-09","punk":1108,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":152.0043,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":83,"date":"2025-06-06","punk":9723,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":55.6815,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":222.5,"date":"2025-03-19","punk":6634,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":176.0879,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":288.88,"date":"2025-03-01","punk":8868,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":253.0719,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":1.8266,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Luxurious Beard","sales_12m":41}],"summary":["Estimate 201 ETH (beta), 1σ range 80.4 to 503 ETH, 2σ range 32.2 to 1,259 ETH, confidence Low, as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 11:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Hoodie +237%, 3D Glasses +76%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9137","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}