{"punk":9350,"name":"CryptoPunk #9350","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9350","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9350.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":4,"attributes":["Front Beard Dark","Cowboy Hat","Small Shades"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":73.6011,"usd":178341,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":48.4472,"high_eth":111.8148,"low_usd":117392,"high_usd":270936},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":31.8899,"high_eth":169.8691,"low_usd":77272,"high_usd":411607},"sigma_log":0.4182,"multiple_of_floor":2.4219,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T10:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":73.6011,"usd":178341,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":48.4472,"high_eth":111.8148,"low_usd":117392,"high_usd":270936},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":31.8899,"high_eth":169.8691,"low_usd":77272,"high_usd":411607},"sigma_log":0.4182,"multiple_of_floor":2.4219,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T10:04:35.000Z","block":26355095,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":38,"stale":false,"label":"as of 10:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T10:04:35.000Z","block":26355095,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":38,"stale":false,"label":"as of 10:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":745,"punk":3425}},"listing":{"ask_eth":199,"ask_usd":444919,"z":2.38,"z_text":"2.4σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2022-07-05T19:15:36.000Z","days_listed":1584},"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":19.8,"beta":0.1805,"term":"tone4","label":"Skin tone 4 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":25.7},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0756,"term":"attr:Front Beard Dark","label":"Front Beard Dark","sales_12m":35,"weighted_sales":13.3},{"pct":95.5,"beta":0.6705,"term":"attr:Cowboy Hat","label":"Cowboy Hat","sales_12m":10,"weighted_sales":2.9}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.1,"date":"2017-10-26","block":4435447,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":55,"adjusted_eth":33.7667},{"eth":4.9,"date":"2020-09-14","block":10857606,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":120,"adjusted_eth":76.7582},{"eth":8,"date":"2020-12-25","block":11520102,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":87,"adjusted_eth":55.2545},{"eth":8.49,"date":"2021-02-01","block":11769101,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":77,"adjusted_eth":50.5904},{"eth":11.9,"date":"2021-02-12","block":11843955,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":180,"adjusted_eth":59.7754},{"eth":50,"date":"2021-04-12","block":12228124,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":98,"adjusted_eth":74.1581},{"eth":43,"date":"2021-07-21","block":12870310,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":35,"adjusted_eth":64.0574}],"comparables":[{"eth":27.1,"date":"2026-01-02","punk":2947,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4237,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33,"date":"2025-11-11","punk":8151,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":29.1532,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":37.5,"date":"2025-10-28","punk":6457,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":29.2212,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":53.98,"date":"2025-08-25","punk":4160,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.0202,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":40.7,"date":"2025-07-08","punk":8151,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.1676,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":39.2,"date":"2025-07-01","punk":8151,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":30.5458,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":42.15,"date":"2025-04-21","punk":2947,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4985,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":42,"date":"2025-04-16","punk":2947,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3972,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.8209,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Small Shades","sales_12m":44}],"summary":["Estimate 73.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 48.4 to 112 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 170 ETH, confidence Low, as of 10:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 10:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Cowboy Hat +96%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9350","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}