{"punk":9465,"name":"CryptoPunk #9465","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9465","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9465.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Front Beard","Mohawk Dark","Nerd Glasses"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":29.0203,"usd":70319,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":26.3373,"high_eth":31.9766,"low_usd":63817,"high_usd":77482},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":23.9023,"high_eth":35.2341,"low_usd":57917,"high_usd":85375},"sigma_log":0.097,"multiple_of_floor":0.9549,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T08:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":29.0203,"usd":70319,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":26.3373,"high_eth":31.9766,"low_usd":63817,"high_usd":77482},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":23.9023,"high_eth":35.2341,"low_usd":57917,"high_usd":85375},"sigma_log":0.097,"multiple_of_floor":0.9549,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T08:04:35.000Z","block":26354496,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":43,"stale":false,"label":"as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T08:04:35.000Z","block":26354496,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":43,"stale":false,"label":"as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":745,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0757,"term":"attr:Front Beard","label":"Front Beard","sales_12m":38,"weighted_sales":11.3},{"pct":-7.6,"beta":-0.0795,"term":"attr:Mohawk Dark","label":"Mohawk Dark","sales_12m":53,"weighted_sales":13.5}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.5,"date":"2019-05-18","block":7785939,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":56,"adjusted_eth":35.3372},{"eth":1,"date":"2020-06-23","block":10318771,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":194,"adjusted_eth":30.39},{"eth":1.1,"date":"2020-07-31","block":10564777,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":197,"adjusted_eth":37.5607},{"eth":75,"date":"2022-03-12","block":14368573,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":10,"adjusted_eth":32.3757},{"eth":77.69,"date":"2022-03-12","block":14368813,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":16,"adjusted_eth":33.5369},{"eth":28.45,"date":"2026-01-03","block":24154506,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":532,"adjusted_eth":30.616}],"comparables":[{"eth":29.99,"date":"2026-10-16","punk":7608,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.3999,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28,"date":"2026-02-02","punk":7608,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4662,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":26,"date":"2026-02-01","punk":7608,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.9429,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":54.69,"date":"2025-07-26","punk":8960,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.918,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":40.76,"date":"2025-07-13","punk":7608,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.6404,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":40.76,"date":"2025-07-08","punk":7608,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.2121,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":37.74,"date":"2025-06-22","punk":7608,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":28.6873,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":44.95,"date":"2025-06-09","punk":7608,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.0461,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.1097,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Nerd Glasses","sales_12m":64}],"summary":["Estimate 29.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.3 to 32.0 ETH, 2σ range 23.9 to 35.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 08:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Front Beard -7%, Mohawk Dark -8%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9465","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}