{"punk":9652,"name":"CryptoPunk #9652","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9652","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9652.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Purple Lipstick","Mohawk Dark","3D Glasses"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":46.5463,"usd":112785,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":37.5476,"high_eth":57.7018,"low_usd":90981,"high_usd":139816},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.2885,"high_eth":71.5309,"low_usd":73392,"high_usd":173325},"sigma_log":0.2148,"multiple_of_floor":1.5316,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","basis":"daily close"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":46.5463,"usd":112785,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":37.5476,"high_eth":57.7018,"low_usd":90981,"high_usd":139816},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.2885,"high_eth":71.5309,"low_usd":73392,"high_usd":173325},"sigma_log":0.2148,"multiple_of_floor":1.5316,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"daily close","as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","block":null,"eth":30.39,"punk":null,"public_asks":null,"age_minutes":56,"stale":false,"label":"as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"daily close","as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","block":null,"eth":30.39,"punk":null,"public_asks":null,"age_minutes":56,"stale":false,"label":"as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":{"ask_eth":91,"ask_usd":203455,"z":3.12,"z_text":"3.1σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2026-08-19T21:36:11.000Z","days_listed":78},"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4,"beta":0.0392,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":42.1},{"pct":45.9,"beta":0.3777,"term":"attr:3D Glasses","label":"3D Glasses","sales_12m":11,"weighted_sales":0.9}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":1.6,"date":"2019-06-14","block":7955509,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":126,"adjusted_eth":121.56},{"eth":11,"date":"2021-02-03","block":11783505,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":1,"adjusted_eth":60.8907},{"eth":29,"date":"2021-02-18","block":11878977,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":35,"adjusted_eth":65.1375},{"eth":41,"date":"2021-04-09","block":12203247,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":8,"adjusted_eth":65.5784},{"eth":54.99,"date":"2021-07-31","block":12934427,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":228,"adjusted_eth":55.7234},{"eth":79,"date":"2021-08-15","block":13030844,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":17,"adjusted_eth":57.1758}],"comparables":[{"eth":33,"date":"2026-10-06","punk":6936,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4824,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.2,"date":"2025-11-28","punk":606,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9048,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.49,"date":"2025-11-16","punk":606,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.5745,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.5,"date":"2025-11-14","punk":606,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.4324,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":46.87,"date":"2025-08-27","punk":606,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.6869,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":46.22,"date":"2025-08-19","punk":606,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":29.5711,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":53,"date":"2025-08-08","punk":606,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.0498,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":54.25,"date":"2025-07-28","punk":5085,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.542,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.4169,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Purple Lipstick","sales_12m":66},{"attribute":"Mohawk Dark","sales_12m":53}],"summary":["Estimate 46.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 37.5 to 57.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 71.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, 3D Glasses +46%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9652","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}