{"punk":9665,"name":"CryptoPunk #9665","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9665","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9665.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":4,"attributes":["Earring","Police Cap","Horned Rim Glasses"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":39.6292,"usd":96025,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":34.8408,"high_eth":45.0757,"low_usd":84422,"high_usd":109222},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.6309,"high_eth":51.2707,"low_usd":74221,"high_usd":124233},"sigma_log":0.1288,"multiple_of_floor":1.304,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T08:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":39.6292,"usd":96025,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":34.8408,"high_eth":45.0757,"low_usd":84422,"high_usd":109222},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.6309,"high_eth":51.2707,"low_usd":74221,"high_usd":124233},"sigma_log":0.1288,"multiple_of_floor":1.304,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T08:04:35.000Z","block":26354496,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":43,"stale":false,"label":"as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T08:04:35.000Z","block":26354496,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":43,"stale":false,"label":"as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":745,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":19.8,"beta":0.1805,"term":"tone4","label":"Skin tone 4 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":25.7},{"pct":-2.4,"beta":-0.0241,"term":"attr:Earring","label":"Earring","sales_12m":303,"weighted_sales":70.6}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.24,"date":"2017-08-15","block":4162137,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":16,"adjusted_eth":30.39},{"eth":0.22,"date":"2018-10-06","block":6466298,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":10,"adjusted_eth":60.78},{"eth":2.99,"date":"2020-09-14","block":10862453,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":127,"adjusted_eth":46.8382},{"eth":6.75,"date":"2020-09-30","block":10966737,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":97,"adjusted_eth":35.3677},{"eth":25,"date":"2021-02-21","block":11902686,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":22,"adjusted_eth":37.9875},{"eth":23.3,"date":"2021-03-07","block":11994139,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":48,"adjusted_eth":36.3122},{"eth":23.99,"date":"2021-04-09","block":12208157,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":89,"adjusted_eth":38.3714},{"eth":75,"date":"2021-12-28","block":13895213,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":161,"adjusted_eth":34.5603},{"eth":59.7,"date":"2023-08-31","block":18031738,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":261,"adjusted_eth":37.6407},{"eth":59.9,"date":"2023-11-06","block":18516067,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":275,"adjusted_eth":37.2034},{"eth":66.99,"date":"2023-11-27","block":18663970,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":32,"adjusted_eth":35.4735}],"comparables":[{"eth":30.5,"date":"2026-05-07","punk":4708,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.8998,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.75,"date":"2026-03-24","punk":4824,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.7745,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.6,"date":"2026-02-05","punk":4824,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.1179,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.5,"date":"2026-02-05","punk":4824,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.9998,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.5,"date":"2026-02-01","punk":2401,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":31.7258,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":25.65,"date":"2026-01-16","punk":2401,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":27.0286,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":26.49,"date":"2025-12-27","punk":2925,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9268,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":24.91,"date":"2025-12-22","punk":2925,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.0584,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.2018,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Police Cap","sales_12m":29},{"attribute":"Horned Rim Glasses","sales_12m":50}],"summary":["Estimate 39.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.8 to 45.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 51.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 08:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Earring -2%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9665","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}