{"punk":9700,"name":"CryptoPunk #9700","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9700","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9700.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Normal Beard","Mohawk","Clown Eyes Green"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":28.9759,"usd":70211,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":26.2856,"high_eth":31.9416,"low_usd":63692,"high_usd":77397},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":23.8451,"high_eth":35.2108,"low_usd":57779,"high_usd":85319},"sigma_log":0.0974,"multiple_of_floor":0.9535,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","basis":"daily close"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":28.9759,"usd":70211,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":26.2856,"high_eth":31.9416,"low_usd":63692,"high_usd":77397},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":23.8451,"high_eth":35.2108,"low_usd":57779,"high_usd":85319},"sigma_log":0.0974,"multiple_of_floor":0.9535,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"daily close","as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","block":null,"eth":30.39,"punk":null,"public_asks":null,"age_minutes":57,"stale":false,"label":"as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"daily close","as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","block":null,"eth":30.39,"punk":null,"public_asks":null,"age_minutes":57,"stale":false,"label":"as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":{"ask_eth":69,"ask_usd":154268,"z":8.91,"z_text":"8.9σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2026-09-25T15:14:35.000Z","days_listed":41},"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-7.6,"beta":-0.0788,"term":"attr:Mohawk","label":"Mohawk","sales_12m":73,"weighted_sales":15.8},{"pct":-7.5,"beta":-0.0779,"term":"attr:Clown Eyes Green","label":"Clown Eyes Green","sales_12m":61,"weighted_sales":8.7}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":32.49,"date":"2026-08-28","block":25850756,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":1210,"adjusted_eth":30.9715},{"eth":31.49,"date":"2026-08-28","block":25854033,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":403,"adjusted_eth":30.0182}],"comparables":[{"eth":34,"date":"2026-06-27","punk":7635,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.7926,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":49.39,"date":"2025-09-10","punk":8116,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.2788,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":49,"date":"2025-09-04","punk":8116,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.0231,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":50,"date":"2025-07-22","punk":8116,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.9895,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":42.25,"date":"2025-03-24","punk":6724,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.7172,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":44,"date":"2024-12-02","punk":6724,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.0959,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":41,"date":"2024-11-30","punk":6724,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.1498,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":5394,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.3289,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":-0.1113,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Normal Beard","sales_12m":39}],"summary":["Estimate 29.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.3 to 31.9 ETH, 2σ range 23.8 to 35.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Mohawk -8%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9700","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}