{"punk":9767,"name":"CryptoPunk #9767","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9767","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9767.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Smile","Chinstrap","Messy Hair"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":37.5747,"usd":85431,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.685,"high_eth":41.9135,"low_usd":76587,"high_usd":95296},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.1979,"high_eth":46.7533,"low_usd":68659,"high_usd":106300},"sigma_log":0.1093,"multiple_of_floor":1.2364,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":37.0801,"usd":84306,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.2416,"high_eth":41.3618,"low_usd":75579,"high_usd":94041},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.8004,"high_eth":46.1379,"low_usd":67755,"high_usd":104900},"sigma_log":0.1093,"multiple_of_floor":1.2364,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":47,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":47,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":17,"beta":0.1572,"term":"attr:Smile","label":"Smile","sales_12m":21,"weighted_sales":7},{"pct":-5.3,"beta":-0.054,"term":"attr:Chinstrap","label":"Chinstrap","sales_12m":42,"weighted_sales":19.4}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.61,"date":"2020-05-11","block":10044757,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":28,"adjusted_eth":33.2616},{"eth":16.5,"date":"2021-02-21","block":11902296,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":77,"adjusted_eth":24.7418},{"eth":35.3,"date":"2021-08-01","block":12940824,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":3,"adjusted_eth":32.3251},{"eth":47.95,"date":"2021-08-04","block":12961117,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"round-trip-30d","log_index":37,"adjusted_eth":41.6938},{"eth":59.48,"date":"2021-08-06","block":12973550,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"round-trip-30d","log_index":65,"adjusted_eth":36.4042},{"eth":55.99,"date":"2021-08-10","block":12998814,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":468,"adjusted_eth":34.7289},{"eth":55,"date":"2021-08-20","block":13060151,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":43,"adjusted_eth":31.7263},{"eth":130,"date":"2021-08-29","block":13123269,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":203,"adjusted_eth":30.578},{"eth":137,"date":"2021-08-30","block":13127889,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":220,"adjusted_eth":34.6749}],"comparables":[{"eth":37.69,"date":"2026-10-07","punk":9706,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.3668,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":42.069,"date":"2026-06-12","punk":9706,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":38.7009,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35.4,"date":"2026-05-19","punk":9016,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.2433,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.5,"date":"2026-05-11","punk":9016,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.8385,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":47.5,"date":"2025-06-04","punk":9992,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.3151,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":45,"date":"2025-03-11","punk":6585,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.1537,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":76,"date":"2025-03-09","punk":638,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":59.278,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35,"date":"2025-02-25","punk":9016,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.7906,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.1489,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Messy Hair","sales_12m":48}],"summary":["Estimate 37.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 41.9 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Smile +17%, Chinstrap -5%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9767","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}