{"punk":9913,"name":"CryptoPunk #9913","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/9913","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/9913.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Mustache","Earring","Shaved Head"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":34.5236,"usd":78494,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":31.6724,"high_eth":37.6316,"low_usd":72011,"high_usd":85560},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.0565,"high_eth":41.0193,"low_usd":66064,"high_usd":93263},"sigma_log":0.0862,"multiple_of_floor":1.136,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":34.0692,"usd":77461,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":31.2555,"high_eth":37.1363,"low_usd":71063,"high_usd":84434},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.6741,"high_eth":40.4794,"low_usd":65194,"high_usd":92035},"sigma_log":0.0862,"multiple_of_floor":1.136,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","block":26351503,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":7,"stale":false,"label":"as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","block":26351503,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":7,"stale":false,"label":"as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":67},{"pct":-2.4,"beta":-0.0241,"term":"attr:Earring","label":"Earring","sales_12m":306,"weighted_sales":71.1},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0758,"term":"attr:Shaved Head","label":"Shaved Head","sales_12m":42,"weighted_sales":12.6}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.11,"date":"2018-10-05","block":6457338,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":20,"adjusted_eth":29.99},{"eth":3.34,"date":"2020-09-28","block":10948027,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":87,"adjusted_eth":17.2999},{"eth":14,"date":"2021-04-05","block":12177435,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":149,"adjusted_eth":27.0877},{"eth":49,"date":"2021-08-06","block":12968745,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":55,"adjusted_eth":29.99},{"eth":53,"date":"2021-08-22","block":13073222,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":31,"adjusted_eth":29.99},{"eth":55,"date":"2021-08-23","block":13081002,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":41,"adjusted_eth":24.3713},{"eth":80,"date":"2021-08-26","block":13100350,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":149,"adjusted_eth":31.3744},{"eth":88.95,"date":"2021-08-27","block":13107437,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":63,"adjusted_eth":28.9958},{"eth":107,"date":"2021-09-01","block":13137152,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"twin-of-nominal-24h","log_index":56,"adjusted_eth":33.7818},{"eth":0,"date":"2021-09-01","block":13137156,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":204,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":73.5,"date":"2021-12-08","block":13765762,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":41,"adjusted_eth":30.2161}],"comparables":[{"eth":37.5,"date":"2025-11-23","punk":5418,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.6255,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":54.9,"date":"2025-08-09","punk":5418,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9518,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":53.2,"date":"2025-07-29","punk":5418,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.1145,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":51.7,"date":"2025-07-28","punk":5418,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":28.7233,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":39.92,"date":"2025-03-23","punk":5418,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9375,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":37.9,"date":"2025-03-19","punk":5418,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.5995,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":39.99,"date":"2025-03-11","punk":5418,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.2399,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":39.9949,"date":"2025-03-07","punk":5418,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.195,"shared_attributes":3}],"premium_log":0.0642,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Mustache","sales_12m":51}],"summary":["Estimate 34.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Shaved Head -7%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/9913","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}