CryptoPunk #1 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $80,399). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Smile +17%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7591 2026-09-25: 33.2 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2644 2025-12-17: 29.5 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8594 2025-11-28: 36.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6898 2025-08-12: 60.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2644 2025-07-25: 55.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6898 2024-11-13: 32.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7224 2024-11-12: 33.0 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5394 2026-10-30: 35.0 ETH (36.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-26: 0.42 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2019-04-06: 31.0 ETH (sale)
- 2020-11-30: 60.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.