CryptoPunk #103 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Blonde Bob, Green Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,835). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 57.8 ETH, 12.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4075 2026-10-08: 31.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-09-23: 33.6 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4075 2026-09-20: 29.7 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9691 2026-06-05: 30.8 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1940 2026-04-26: 29.9 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6674 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8539 2025-12-22: 27.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1339 2025-10-06: 58.1 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2025-10-07: 48.2 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2025-10-07: 48.2 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.