CryptoPunk #1118 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Cap Forward.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 45.8 ETH (about $104,198). 1σ range 37.9 to 55.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.3 to 67.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 98.0 ETH, 4.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 45.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 37.9 to 55.5 ETH, 2σ range 31.3 to 67.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Smile +17%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #704 2025-11-04: 37.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #704 2025-05-25: 56.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #704 2025-04-08: 49.0 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #704 2024-12-24: 46.0 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #704 2024-11-15: 40.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (40.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7591 2026-09-25: 33.2 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4746 2026-09-22: 88.9 ETH (82.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-25: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-01: 30.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-01: 30.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-31: 69.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-05-08: 61.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.