CryptoPunk #1149 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Mohawk Dark.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 99.7 ETH, 20.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6897 2026-10-27: 29.4 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6897 2026-10-27: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6897 2026-10-27: 28.4 ETH (28.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2903 2026-06-16: 32.7 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2903 2025-06-04: 53.2 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1107 2025-05-13: 49.5 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9331 2025-01-22: 38.5 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5881 2024-11-30: 40.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2023-03-13: 68.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-09-21: 28.6 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.