CryptoPunk #1181 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Bandana, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.4 ETH (about $80,936). 1σ range 30.8 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 39.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 79.0 ETH, 10.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.8 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 39.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Muttonchops -9%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9065 2026-09-21: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9065 2026-08-31: 30.9 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9065 2026-04-22: 29.4 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6508 2026-04-17: 27.9 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6508 2026-04-12: 26.7 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6508 2026-04-11: 28.4 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9065 2026-04-01: 29.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8627 2026-01-27: 28.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-12-22: 51.3 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-03-21: 77.1 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-30: 69.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-03-07: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-06: 51.8 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-10: 63.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.