CryptoPunk #1193 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Spots, Mustache, Crazy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 43.6 ETH (about $99,230). 1σ range 36.7 to 51.9 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 61.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 43.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.7 to 51.9 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 61.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Smile +17%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8879 2026-10-24: 45.0 ETH (44.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1521 2026-09-15: 35.0 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1521 2026-06-27: 40.7 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4790 2026-03-13: 36.9 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4790 2026-03-04: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #704 2025-11-04: 37.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1521 2025-07-22: 51.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.