CryptoPunk #1194 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Mohawk.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 28.0 ETH (about $63,668). 1σ range 25.1 to 31.2 ETH, 2σ range 22.6 to 34.8 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 32.8 ETH, 1.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 28.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 25.1 to 31.2 ETH, 2σ range 22.6 to 34.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Goat -7%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8340 2026-07-12: 37.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #239 2025-12-22: 26.1 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6395 2025-07-16: 41.9 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6395 2025-06-22: 38.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9735 2025-06-16: 48.8 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6395 2025-06-09: 44.9 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6395 2025-06-07: 44.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9735 2025-04-06: 48.6 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-12-31: 62.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.