CryptoPunk #1242 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.0 ETH (about $81,807). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5034 2026-09-19: 46.5 ETH (47.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4255 2026-09-02: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4255 2026-06-28: 32.8 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9993 2025-12-23: 33.7 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9993 2025-07-30: 58.5 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9993 2025-06-18: 53.0 ETH (38.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-12-05: 3.00 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.