CryptoPunk #1254 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Mohawk Thin, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 27.3 ETH (about $62,103). 1σ range 24.3 to 30.7 ETH, 2σ range 21.6 to 34.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 27.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 24.3 to 30.7 ETH, 2σ range 21.6 to 34.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Earring -2%, Mohawk Thin -11%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7132 2026-07-06: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5459 2026-07-04: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-06-26: 36.5 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9233 2026-06-05: 34.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-05-21: 32.6 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9233 2026-05-16: 32.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-18: 0.31 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-22: 52.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 77.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-31: 167 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-04: 117 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-22: 52.7 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-24: 55.0 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.