CryptoPunk #1274 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Top Hat, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 48.6 ETH (about $110,444). 1σ range 39.1 to 60.4 ETH, 2σ range 31.4 to 75.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 48.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 39.1 to 60.4 ETH, 2σ range 31.4 to 75.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Top Hat +30%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9872 2026-10-03: 35.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7519 2026-07-03: 58.9 ETH (54.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2956 2026-02-04: 29.4 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2956 2026-02-03: 28.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9987 2025-12-30: 29.9 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2565 2025-12-04: 33.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3716 2025-06-03: 47.5 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3716 2025-06-03: 45.9 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-28: 0.05 ETH (accepted bid, not used: below-half-floor)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.