CryptoPunk #1286 valuation (beta)
Male, Stringy Hair, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.6 ETH (about $79,023). 1σ range 30.1 to 35.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 38.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.1 to 35.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 38.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1020 2026-09-07: 39.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5450 2026-07-03: 32.2 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6068 2026-05-23: 33.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6068 2026-05-17: 33.3 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3315 2026-05-11: 32.2 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6068 2026-04-22: 30.0 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5450 2026-04-17: 27.7 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5450 2026-04-08: 28.3 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-02-21: 0.11 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.