CryptoPunk #1401 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard, Peak Spike.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.8 ETH (about $69,992). 1σ range 28.3 to 33.5 ETH, 2σ range 26.0 to 36.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.3 to 33.5 ETH, 2σ range 26.0 to 36.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1331 2025-11-24: 33.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1331 2025-11-06: 37.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5966 2025-10-05: 53.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5966 2025-09-28: 45.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2745 2025-07-15: 50.0 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7806 2025-07-01: 39.5 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4601 2025-01-12: 40.0 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6118 2025-01-02: 39.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-29: 0.08 ETH (sale)
- 2017-07-07: 0.24 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-24: 74.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 100.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-31: 19.5 ETH (sale, not used: below-half-floor)
- 2021-08-31: 115 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
- 2024-02-10: 61.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.