CryptoPunk #1405 valuation (beta)
Male, Mohawk, Cigarette, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.8 ETH (about $72,274). 1σ range 29.3 to 34.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.1 to 37.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 34.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.1 to 37.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mohawk -8%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-12: 34.9 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2957 2026-07-03: 33.3 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-07-03: 32.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4777 2026-05-16: 35.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-04-17: 27.7 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-04-08: 28.3 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-27: 82.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-16: 90.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-21: 98.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-25: 115 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-26: 72.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-09-24: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-20: 74.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.