CryptoPunk #15 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Wild Hair, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.6 ETH (about $92,297). 1σ range 35.3 to 46.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 53.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.3 to 46.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 53.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1941 2026-09-23: 60.5 ETH (53.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5092 2026-06-13: 200 ETH (183 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7950 2026-01-12: 32.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #750 2025-08-22: 47.3 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #750 2025-08-18: 47.5 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #750 2025-08-09: 54.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #750 2025-08-08: 52.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9634 2025-02-11: 47.5 ETH (38.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.