CryptoPunk #1507 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Earring, Cowboy Hat.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 75.7 ETH (about $172,189). 1σ range 49.1 to 117 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 180 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 140 ETH, 1.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 75.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 49.1 to 117 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 180 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Smile +17%, Earring -2%, Cowboy Hat +96%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7591 2026-09-25: 33.2 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9774 2026-07-27: 95.0 ETH (88.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8918 2026-06-16: 39.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4336 2026-05-28: 78.0 ETH (73.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5655 2026-02-06: 40.0 ETH (40.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6058 2026-02-02: 31.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7892 2026-01-04: 169 ETH (173 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-12-13: 0.13 ETH (sale)
- 2018-01-13: 0.20 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 100 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-26: 46.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-12-02: 64.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-12: 80.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.