CryptoPunk #1508 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Choker, Mohawk Dark, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.6 ETH (about $85,498). 1σ range 33.5 to 42.2 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 64.0 ETH, 4.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 42.2 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Choker +18%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1895 2026-10-09: 33.3 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9228 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9912 2026-09-18: 35.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-09-03: 30.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3498 2026-09-01: 34.3 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-08-09: 33.4 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3498 2026-08-07: 31.2 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3498 2026-07-25: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-18: 30.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-08-20: 35.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.