CryptoPunk #1509 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Peak Spike, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.3 ETH (about $80,619). 1σ range 30.7 to 36.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.7 to 36.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Chinstrap -5%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1001 2026-07-12: 45.0 ETH (42.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8626 2026-01-29: 30.3 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1103 2026-01-03: 34.0 ETH (36.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3720 2025-11-23: 110 ETH (112 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2835 2025-10-09: 51.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2745 2025-07-15: 50.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8987 2025-06-29: 42.1 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8987 2025-06-14: 50.0 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-01-19: 0.65 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-14: 0.68 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.