CryptoPunk #1516 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Knitted Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.3 ETH (about $78,037). 1σ range 31.5 to 37.4 ETH, 2σ range 28.9 to 40.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.5 to 37.4 ETH, 2σ range 28.9 to 40.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mole -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9915 2025-06-19: 46.8 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9915 2025-06-16: 43.5 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8075 2025-06-08: 51.8 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8075 2025-05-28: 50.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6325 2024-11-13: 43.0 ETH (39.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2473 2026-10-31: 38.0 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-16: 9.80 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 38.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-08-02: 53.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-08-02: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-08-02: 57.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.