CryptoPunk #1520 valuation (beta)
Female, Mohawk Dark, Medical Mask, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.6 ETH (about $69,617). 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 3,500 ETH, 91.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #606 2025-11-28: 30.2 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #606 2025-11-16: 31.5 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #606 2025-11-14: 30.5 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #606 2025-08-27: 46.9 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #606 2025-08-19: 46.2 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #606 2025-08-08: 53.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #606 2024-12-17: 40.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #606 2024-11-30: 40.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-12: 0.15 ETH (accepted bid, not used: below-half-floor)
- 2017-12-18: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-15: 27.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-01: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-01: 80.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-08: 79.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.